By Ian Fairclough, Director of Debt Finance,Β OakNorthΒ 

AI comes up inΒ almost everyΒ tech deal conversation I have these days. Not as a buzzword – as a genuine factor in how we think about a business.Β 

AndΒ that’sΒ notΒ surprising.Β the sponsors and founders I work with are already deep in this.Β They’reΒ assessing AI exposure across their portfolios, reassessing valuations, and in some cases restructuring how they think about exits. The question I get asked more often nowΒ isn’tΒ “will you lend against this business” – it’sΒ “how do you think about AI risk in this sector.”Β 

Here’sΒ whatΒ we’veΒ been noticing in the software and tech lending space recently.Β 

HowΒ we’reΒ thinking aboutΒ AIΒ on dealsΒ 

The core question we ask on software and technology businesses is simple: is AI a tailwind or a headwind? The answer shapes everything – structure, leverage, tenor, and whetherΒ we’reΒ the right partner at all.Β 

When we backedΒ Hypha’s acquisition of PassΒ with a Β£5m loan, the AI dimension was positive from the outset. Pass is an AI-powered EdTech platform using the technology to deliver better outcomes for learners and institutions.Β That’sΒ a business aligned with where the market is going.Β 

A legacy software business is a different story. If an AI-native startup can replicate the core product at lower cost, that risk shows up at the next contract renewal – and it changes how we think about structure, or whether weΒ proceedΒ at all.Β 

Opus Safety, which we supported alongside BGF, is another good example – a tech-enabled business with proprietary software and strong retention, where the technology strengthens the business over time rather than weakening it.Β That’sΒ where the opportunity is.Β 

The deals I find most interesting are the ones where the management team or sponsor has already stress-tested this themselves. They know which revenue streams are defensible,Β they’veΒ thought about what an AI-native competitor would look like in their market, and they have a clear view on why their moat holds. That preparation makes the deal process faster and the outcome better for everyone.Β 

AI is also changing how we workΒ 

AI tools are now part of our teams’ daily workflows.Β The analytical groundwork that used to take days is getting done faster, which means we’re spending more time on the conversations thatΒ actually moveΒ deals forward: getting in front of sponsors earlier, spending more time with management teams, being present at the moments that matter in a process.Β 

WhatΒ hasn’tΒ changed is the relationship side of what we do. It matters more than ever. If anything, AI gives us more time to build the connections that no tool replaces.Β 

What’sΒ nextΒ 

IfΒ you’reΒ planning a debt raise in the next 12 to 18 months and your business has a technologyΒ component,Β it’sΒ worth working through a few things before lender conversations start.Β 

Where does AI create opportunity in your market, and how is your business positioned to capture it? Which parts of your revenue are locked in versus renewing, and what does that renewal dynamic look like?Β What’sΒ yourΒ competitive moat?Β ProprietaryΒ technology, deep customer relationships, switching costs, something else?Β 

Borrowers who come to these conversations with a clear narrative, andΒ not just on the numbers, but on where the business sits in its market,Β tend to move faster and get better outcomes. Lenders who are thinking carefully about AI want to back businesses that are too.Β